Avg Accuracy

91.8%

Crises Analyzed

Predictions

Awards

Select Historical Event

Test our model against past crises

Nov 2023 - Ongoing • 24+ months

high

Houthi attacks on commercial shipping forced 90% of container traffic to reroute via Cape of Good Hope, adding 10-14 days transit time.

Oil: +15.8%Freight: +160%

Feb 2022 • 36+ months

critical

War triggered global energy crisis, grain export disruption from Black Sea ports, and major sanctions reshaping trade flows.

Oil: +36.3%Freight: +148%

March 2021 • 6 days

high

Ever Given container ship blocked Suez Canal, halting 12% of global trade and creating ripple effects for months.

Oil: +4.8%Freight: +122%

May - July 2019 • 3 months

high

Tanker attacks in Strait of Hormuz, US-Iran tensions, and seizure of British tanker Stena Impero.

Oil: -4.3%Freight: +47%

Jan - Oct 2011 • 10 months

medium

Regional uprisings disrupted Suez Canal traffic, halted Libyan oil exports, and threatened multiple shipping lanes.

Oil: +38.5%Freight: +41.7%

Backtest Results

How well does our model predict?

Red Sea / Houthi Attacks

Nov 2023 - Ongoing

Historical Analytics & Backtest